Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Robert Shiller Says Housing Prices Could Fall Another 10-25%

Have housing prices bottomed out? The answer is not yet, according to Robert Shiller of the now famous S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index. In fact, Shiller believes that housing prices still have a lot of room for correction. Tim Iacono takes a look at a recent interview Shiller had on Fox Business in his blog post below.

Yale economist Robert Shiller talks about the latest release of the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index and, again this month, is exceptionally gloomy about the path forward.

Shiller thinks that there are just too many forces working against the housing market this year and that rising oil prices and the threat of a new recession make the idea of prices “bumping along the bottom” an optimistic scenario.

I worry that home price might fall – not just a little – but 15, 20, 25 percent in real terms … that would bring us back down to the long run average. You know, home prices haven’t really trended up in real terms over the last century.

He also spoke with Tom Keene at Bloomberg yesterday – that interview is here.

This post was republished with permission from The Mess That Greenspan Made.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

I totally agree that housing values will decline further creating more defaults and the deflationary cycle will continue UNTIL something is done to stop it.

A free market solution is found on the website to
stop the losses and protect investors investment by enforcing capitalism and existing law.